Salvador Price vs Mateo Castaneda Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the past six months, Castaneda has had a slight edge on the second serve with 42.54% points won compared to Price's 40.55%. Does this give Castaneda a significant advantage? Potentially, given its correlation with match predictions.
• When it comes to returning games, Price has a better record on second serve returns at 45.21%, whereas Castaneda is at 43.82%. For first serve returns, Price also leads with 32.8% over Castaneda's 30.65%. This might indicate a possible edge for Price in breaking serves.
• Under pressure, such as breakpoint situations, Castaneda holds a slight edge, saving 50% of breakpoints compared to Price's 47.26%. Could this resilience be crucial in clutch moments?
• Looking at their win/loss records over the past year, Price has a better percentage, winning 54.35% of matches, while Castaneda has won 50%. This overall performance favors Price.
• Both players are strongest on clay, with Castaneda at 56% and Price at 50%. However, Castaneda is less effective on hard courts with a win rate of 43% compared to Price's 48%.
• Price has been slightly more successful at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, winning 56.82% of matches versus Castaneda's 51.43%. This could be indicative of a higher form coming into this match.
• Castaneda's opponents in the last 12 months have been, on average, ranked higher (224.66) compared to Price's (383.89), which might suggest that Castaneda has faced tougher competition.
• If the match progresses to a deciding set, Price tends to perform better, winning 56% of such sets whereas Castaneda manages only 38%. This could be a determining factor should the match be closely contested.
• In converting breakpoints, Castaneda has a slight advantage at 43.86% compared to Price's 41.25%. Could this small advantage turn the tide in critical moments?

Editorial Prediction (September 16, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Castaneda and Price promises to be competitive, with both players exhibiting specific strengths and weaknesses. Price's consistent return game may be a pivotal factor, especially with his slight edge in first and second serve returns.

Castaneda shows resilience under pressure, especially in crucial breakpoint scenarios, which could play a significant role during tight exchanges. While both players excel on clay, their performance on harder surfaces may influence the match's flow.

However, Price's favorable track record in deciding sets and slightly higher success at similar tournament levels give him a marginal advantage.

Considering all factors, including their recent performances and opponents' quality, Price seems slightly more positioned to clinch victory in this encounter.